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United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League logo United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 25 Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium· Khor Fakkan Monday, May 11, 2026 16:45
Khorfakkan logo Khorfakkan PPG 0.92
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Al Wahda logo Al Wahda PPG 1.55
Home· +22.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%
Odds: 4.70 EV: +22.6%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.85 EV: +0.1%
Away 44.6%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -27.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.2% Odds: 1.62 -9.0%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.50 -19.5%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Khorfakkan
1.12
Al Wahda
1.74

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+22.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.55) vs Home POOR (0.92)

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