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Sharjah FC vs Al-Jazira Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:35

Sharjah FC

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

WLW ··

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al-Jazira

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.8%0-27.4%0-34.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.7%1-111.2%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.2%2-17.1%2-25.9%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.8%3-13.0%3-22.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 33.3% 3.00 -7.0%

Draw 26.6% 30.3% 3.30 -7.3%

Away win 42.4% 47.6% 2.10 -11.0%

Over 2.5 53.9% 60.6% 1.65 -11.1%

Over 3.5 31.6% 40.0% 2.50 -21.0%

BTTS 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

Home O1.5 37.8% 42.0% 2.38 -10.0%

Away O1.5 48.5% 54.6% 1.83 -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.7%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 0–2✓ 7.4%

#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sharjah FC1.3

Al-Jazira1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SHARJAH FC · PPG 1.27

AL-JAZIRA · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sharjah FC (H) 31.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.0%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -7.3%

Al-Jazira (A) 42.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sharjah FC face Al-Jazira in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sharjah FC a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Al-Jazira 42%, so Al-Jazira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sharjah FC and 1.7 for Al-Jazira (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sharjah FC are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.73 for Al-Jazira. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 0-2.

Sharjah FC vs Al-Jazira Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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