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Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 13:45

Al-Ittihad Kalba

PPG 0.85 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

UPCOMING

Al Ain

PPG 2.39 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-18.2%0-28.8%0-36.4%0-4+5.7%1 1-04.2%1-19.1%1-29.8%1-37.1%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.3%2-15.0%2-25.5%2-34.0%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.9%3-11.9%3-22.0%3-31.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% 6.5% 15.50 +151.1%

Draw 20.3% 16.1% 6.20 +15.5%

Away win 57.0% 86.2% 1.16 -33.9%

Over 2.5 63.9% 69.4% 1.44 -8.0%

Over 3.5 41.8% 47.6% 2.10 -12.2%

BTTS 60.8% 48.8% 2.05 +24.6%

Home O1.5 31.0% 16.0% 6.25 +93.8%

Away O1.5 58.6% 82.0% 1.22 -28.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob60.8%

A 57% / xG 1.1-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.8%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 1–3 7.1%

#5 2–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Ittihad Kalba1.1

Al Ain2.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 41.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-ITTIHAD KALBA · PPG 0.85

AL AIN · PPG 2.39

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.06 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al-Ittihad Kalba (H) 22.7%

ODDS 15.50 · IMPLIED 6.5% EV +151.1%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +15.5%

Al Ain (A) 57.0%

ODDS 1.16 · IMPLIED 86.2% EV -33.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Ittihad Kalba face Al Ain in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Ittihad Kalba a 23% chance, the draw 20% and Al Ain 57%, so Al Ain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al-Ittihad Kalba and 2.2 for Al Ain (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Ittihad Kalba are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 2.39 for Al Ain. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +150.4%.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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