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Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Orgryte IS

PPG 0.88 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Halmstad

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.9%0-22.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.3%1-19.9%1-25.2%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.3%3-16.7%3-23.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-15.4%4+-22.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.7% 51.3% 1.95 +6.7%

Draw 22.2% 27.0% 3.70 -10.7%

Away win 23.1% 29.0% 3.45 -12.2%

Over 2.5 59.9% 59.9% 1.67 +0.0%

Over 3.5 36.7% 37.0% 2.70 -0.9%

BTTS 57.1% 64.5% 1.55 -11.5%

Home O1.5 56.0% 55.6% 1.80 +0.8%

Away O1.5 33.4% 39.2% 2.55 -14.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob57.1%

H 55% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 1–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orgryte IS2.0

Halmstad1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ORGRYTE IS · PPG 0.88

HALMSTAD · PPG 0.25

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Orgryte IS (H) 54.7%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +6.7%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -10.7%

Halmstad (A) 23.1%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orgryte IS face Halmstad in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orgryte IS a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Halmstad 23%, so Orgryte IS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Orgryte IS and 1.1 for Halmstad (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orgryte IS are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.25 for Halmstad. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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