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Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Matchday 19 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

Gais

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

IF Brommapojkarna

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.2 puts the goal expectation near the line. Model probability 49.2% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-19.1%0-23.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.9%1-112.6%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-18.7%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 60.6% 1.65 -26.3%

Draw 26.2% 25.6% 3.90 +1.3%

Away win 29.1% 20.8% 4.80 +23.8%

Over 2.5 49.2% 59.9% 1.67 -17.8%

Over 3.5 27.4% 37.7% 2.65 -16.4%

BTTS 49.9% 61.7% 1.62 -19.2%

Home O1.5 39.6% 61.7% 1.62 -35.9%

Away O1.5 24.2% 32.3% 3.10 -15.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.9%

H 45% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 49% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 12.6%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 0–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gais1.4

IF Brommapojkarna0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GAIS · PPG 1.67

IF BROMMAPOJKARNA · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gais (H) 44.7%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -26.3%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +1.3%

IF Brommapojkarna (A) 29.1%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gais face IF Brommapojkarna in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gais a 45% chance, the draw 26% and IF Brommapojkarna 29%, so Gais are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gais and 0.8 for IF Brommapojkarna (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gais are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for IF Brommapojkarna. This match finished 4-0.

Gais vs IF Brommapojkarna Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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