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Spain - Segunda División
Regular Season - 42
Estadio Municipal de Castalia· Castellon
Sunday, May 31, 2026
16:30
Castellon
PPG 2.00
2-1
HIT CS5
Eibar
PPG 1.05
Away· +30.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
43.4%
Odds: 1.54
EV: -33.2%
Draw
29.2%
Odds: 4.20
EV: +13.6%
Away
27.4%
Odds: 5.50
EV: +30.4%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.57
-27.5%
Over 3.5
27.7%
Odds: 2.40
-20.1%
BTTS
47.2%
Odds: 1.60
-24.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Castellon
1.30
Eibar
0.95
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
56%
O2.5/Under
56%
BTTS/No
56%
Score Hit
54%
ROI
8.0%
Bet Hit
64%
(11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=43.4%