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Cordoba vs Huesca Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Matchday 42 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 19:00

Cordoba

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Huesca

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-17.6%0-23.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.5%1-112.0%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-19.4%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.1%3-14.9%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 60.6% 1.65 -18.7%

Draw 27.4% 27.4% 3.65 +0.0%

Away win 23.3% 19.0% 5.25 +13.4%

Over 2.5 48.5% 55.6% 1.80 -12.7%

Over 3.5 27.9% 33.9% 2.95 -10.6%

BTTS 51.6% 57.8% 1.73 -10.7%

Home O1.5 46.6% 58.8% 1.70 -20.8%

Away O1.5 25.0% 28.2% 3.55 -6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 71.8%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.0%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cordoba1.6

Huesca1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CORDOBA · PPG 1.55

HUESCA · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

Chance this pick lands

56%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.55) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Cordoba (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -18.7%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +0.0%

Huesca (A) 23.3%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +13.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cordoba face Huesca in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cordoba a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Huesca 23%, so Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cordoba and 1.0 for Huesca (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cordoba are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.45 for Huesca. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Cordoba vs Huesca Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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