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Burgos vs FC Andorra Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 42 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 16:30

Burgos

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

FC Andorra

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-111.2%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.1%1-113.2%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-17.8%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.1%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.1% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 28.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 27.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 33.1% — — —

Away O1.5 21.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–0✓ 15.1%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Burgos1.2

FC Andorra0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BURGOS · PPG 1.75

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Burgos (H) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Andorra (A) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Burgos face FC Andorra in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Burgos a 42% chance, the draw 30% and FC Andorra 28%, so Burgos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Burgos and 0.9 for FC Andorra (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Burgos are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.40 for FC Andorra. This match finished 1-0.

Burgos vs FC Andorra Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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