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FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

FC Andorra

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Eibar

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.4%0-23.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.0%1-111.2%1-26.2%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.7%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.0%3-15.6%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.6%4+-22.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 55.4% — — —

Over 3.5 35.2% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 71.8%

Bet Hit 100%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Andorra1.7

Eibar1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.71

EIBAR · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Andorra (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eibar (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Andorra face Eibar in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Andorra a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Eibar 25%, so FC Andorra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Andorra and 1.1 for Eibar (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Andorra are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.17 for Eibar. This match finished 0-1.

FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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