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Spain - Segunda División
Regular Season - 42
Estadio Municipal de Butarque· Leganes
Sunday, May 31, 2026
19:00
Leganes
PPG 1.20
1-0
HIT CS3
Mirandes
PPG 0.85
Away· +6.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
41.7%
Odds: 2.00
EV: -16.6%
Draw
28.0%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -1.2%
Away
30.3%
Odds: 3.50
EV: +6.0%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.9%
Odds: 1.83
-14.2%
Over 3.5
27.8%
Odds: 3.10
-8.3%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.67
-13.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✔
4th
2-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Leganes
1.34
Mirandes
1.01
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-13.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+6.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.85)