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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 42 UD Almeria Stadium· Almeria Sunday, May 31, 2026 16:30
Almeria logo Almeria PPG 2.20
1-0 HIT CS4
Valladolid logo Valladolid PPG 0.85
Away· +49.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.7%
Odds: 1.37 EV: -26.4%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 4.70 EV: +3.7%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 7.70 EV: +49.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.57 -3.1%
Over 3.5 38.1% Odds: 2.40 -8.6%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.73 +5.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Almeria
2.07
Valladolid
1.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.1% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+49.0%)

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=53.7%

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