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Radomlje vs Bravo Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Regular Season - 3 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 16:00

Radomlje

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bravo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.0%0-26.0%0-33.4%0-4+2.1%1 1-06.1%1-110.4%1-28.9%1-35.1%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.5%2-17.7%2-26.6%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.2%3-13.8%3-23.3%3-31.9%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.0%4+-21.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 33.8% 2.96 +6.9%

Draw 23.4% 27.8% 3.60 -9.5%

Away win 40.4% 47.2% 2.12 -14.3%

Over 2.5 63.6% 61.7% 1.62 +3.0%

Over 3.5 40.1% 40.0% 2.50 +0.3%

BTTS 62.1% 66.7% 1.50 -6.9%

Home O1.5 45.4% 43.5% 2.30 +4.4%

Away O1.5 48.0% 54.1% 1.85 -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 54.1%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.1%

A 40% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radomlje1.5

Bravo1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RADOMLJE · PPG 1.14

BRAVO · PPG 2.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radomlje (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV +6.9%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.5%

Bravo (A) 40.4%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radomlje face Bravo in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radomlje a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Bravo 40%, so Bravo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Radomlje and 1.7 for Bravo (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radomlje are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.00 for Bravo. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.3%.

Radomlje vs Bravo Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovenia - 1. SNL Predictions