Today / Slovenia - 1. SNL / Koper vs Bravo

Koper vs Bravo Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:15

Koper

PPG 1.91 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bravo

PPG 2.05 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.1%0-23.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.2%1-19.8%1-26.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.4%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.4%3-16.0%3-24.1%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.5%4+-23.1%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 58.5% 1.71 -19.5%

Draw 24.0% 26.7% 3.75 -6.0%

Away win 28.9% 23.8% 4.20 +12.8%

Over 2.5 59.5% 66.7% 1.50 -10.8%

Over 3.5 36.5% 45.5% 2.20 -19.7%

BTTS 60.3% 69.0% 1.45 -12.6%

Home O1.5 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Away O1.5 42.6% 39.2% 2.55 +8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 60.7%

Bet Hit 91%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.3%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Koper1.9

Bravo1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KOPER · PPG 1.91

BRAVO · PPG 2.05

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Koper (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.71 · IMPLIED 58.5% EV -19.5%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.0%

Bravo (A) 28.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +12.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Koper face Bravo in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Koper a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Bravo 29%, so Koper are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Koper and 1.4 for Bravo (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Koper are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 2.05 for Bravo. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +10.0%.

Koper vs Bravo Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovenia - 1. SNL Predictions