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St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship logo Scotland flag Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 35 McDiarmid Park· Perth Friday, April 24, 2026 18:45
St. Johnstone logo St. Johnstone PPG 2.12
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Raith Rovers logo Raith Rovers PPG 0.88
Home· +17.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Johnstone face Raith Rovers in Scotland - Championship on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Johnstone a 78% chance, the draw 16% and Raith Rovers 7%, so St. Johnstone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for St. Johnstone and 0.5 for Raith Rovers (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Johnstone are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 0.88 for Raith Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.5%
Odds: 1.52 EV: +17.8%
Draw 16.1%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -38.0%
Away 6.5%
Odds: 5.90 EV: -61.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.3% Odds: 1.80 -9.5%
Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 2.90 -17.9%
BTTS 33.6% Odds: 1.80 -39.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Johnstone
2.21
Raith Rovers
0.47

Model Suggestion

Home +17.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.12), Away POOR (0.88) - Strong consensus

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