Airdrieonians vs Ayr Utd Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 35 Albert Bartlett Stadium· Airdrie Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Airdrieonians PPG 0.82

2-1 MISS

Ayr Utd PPG 1.18

Away· -5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Airdrieonians face Ayr Utd in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Airdrieonians a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Ayr Utd 28%, so Airdrieonians are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Airdrieonians and 0.9 for Ayr Utd (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Airdrieonians are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.18 for Ayr Utd. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.6%

Odds: 2.08 EV: -11.4%

Draw 29.1%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -6.9%

Away 28.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -5.2%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.5% Odds: 2.10 -23.4%

Over 3.5 17.2% Odds: 3.70 -36.4%

BTTS 42.8% Odds: 1.80 -23.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Airdrieonians

1.22

Ayr Utd

0.94

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.82) vs Away AVERAGE (1.18)