Greenock Morton vs Airdrieonians Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

Greenock Morton face Airdrieonians in Scotland - Championship on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Greenock Morton a 37% chance, the draw 32% and Airdrieonians 31%, so Greenock Morton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Greenock Morton and 1.1 for Airdrieonians (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Greenock Morton are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.06 for Airdrieonians. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 1-1.