Arbroath PPG 1.82
Partick Thistle PPG 1.35Arbroath face Partick Thistle in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arbroath a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Partick Thistle 28%, so Arbroath are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Arbroath and 1.1 for Partick Thistle (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arbroath are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.35 for Partick Thistle. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +52.1%. This match finished 0-0.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.82) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)