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Queens Park vs Dunfermline Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Queens Park

PPG 1.29 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Dunfermline

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-110.5%0-26.1%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.3%1-113.1%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-18.1%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.4%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% 27.8% 3.60 +37.5%

Draw 27.6% 30.8% 3.25 -10.3%

Away win 34.1% 50.5% 1.98 -32.5%

Over 2.5 43.0% 51.3% 1.95 -16.2%

Over 3.5 22.1% 29.4% 3.40 -24.9%

BTTS 48.7% 57.1% 1.75 -14.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.7%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.3%

#3 0–1 10.5%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queens Park1.2

Dunfermline1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEENS PARK · PPG 1.29

DUNFERMLINE · PPG 1.29

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Queens Park (H) 38.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +37.5%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -10.3%

Dunfermline (A) 34.1%

ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -32.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Queens Park face Dunfermline in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queens Park a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Dunfermline 34%, so Queens Park are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Queens Park and 1.2 for Dunfermline (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queens Park are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.29 for Dunfermline. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Queens Park vs Dunfermline Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - Championship Predictions