Queens Park vs Dunfermline Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 35 The City Stadium· Glasgow Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Queens Park PPG 1.29

0-2 MISS

Dunfermline PPG 1.29

Home· +37.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Queens Park face Dunfermline in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queens Park a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Dunfermline 34%, so Queens Park are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Queens Park and 1.2 for Dunfermline (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queens Park are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.29 for Dunfermline. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.2%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +37.5%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -10.3%

Away 34.1%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -32.5%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.0% Odds: 1.95 -16.2%

Over 3.5 22.1% Odds: 3.40 -24.9%

BTTS 48.7% Odds: 1.75 -14.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Queens Park

1.24

Dunfermline

1.16

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.29)