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Partick vs Queen's Park Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Partick

PPG 2.20 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDD ·

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Queen's Park

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLD ·

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 58.2% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-16.2%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.1%1-110.7%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.0%2-19.2%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.5%3-15.3%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-13.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.2% 75.2% 1.33 -22.6%

Draw 23.9% 21.5% 4.65 +6.7%

Away win 17.8% 12.7% 7.90 +24.4%

Over 2.5 50.5% 60.6% 1.65 -16.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% 38.2% 2.62 -14.9%

BTTS 47.2% 52.6% 1.90 -10.3%

Home O1.5 48.9% 70.4% 1.42 -30.6%

Away O1.5 18.2% 21.1% 4.75 -8.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.2%

H 58% / xG 1.7-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.1%

#2 2–0 13.0%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0✓ 8.8%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Partick1.7

Queen's Park0.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PARTICK · PPG 2.20

QUEEN'S PARK · PPG 1.01

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.01 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Partick (H) 58.2%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -22.6%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV +6.7%

Queen's Park (A) 17.8%

ODDS 7.90 · IMPLIED 12.7% EV +24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Partick face Queen's Park in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partick a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Queen's Park 18%, so Partick are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Partick and 0.7 for Queen's Park (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partick are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.01 for Queen's Park. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +15.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Partick vs Queen's Park Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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