Ross County vs Greenock Morton Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 35 Global Energy Stadium· Dingwall Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Ross County PPG 1.06

4-0 MISS

Greenock Morton PPG 0.88

Away· +0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ross County face Greenock Morton in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ross County a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Greenock Morton 28%, so Ross County are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ross County and 1.0 for Greenock Morton (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ross County are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.88 for Greenock Morton. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.6%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -11.7%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -10.2%

Away 28.2%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +0.1%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.0% Odds: 1.93 -17.0%

Over 3.5 22.1% Odds: 3.35 -26.0%

BTTS 47.9% Odds: 1.73 -17.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ross County

1.37

Greenock Morton

1.03

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.88)