Partick Thistle vs Queens Park Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 36 Firhill Stadium· Glasgow Friday, May 1, 2026 18:45

Partick Thistle PPG 2.41

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Queens Park PPG 1.06

Draw· +16.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Partick Thistle face Queens Park in Scotland - Championship on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partick Thistle a 53% chance, the draw 28% and Queens Park 19%, so Partick Thistle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Partick Thistle and 0.9 for Queens Park (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partick Thistle are averaging 2.41 points per game versus 1.06 for Queens Park. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +16.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.0%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -21.6%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +16.9%

Away 18.6%

Odds: 5.90 EV: +9.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.1% Odds: 1.70 -23.3%

Over 3.5 23.8% Odds: 2.75 -34.5%

BTTS 48.3% Odds: 1.80 -13.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Partick Thistle

1.61

Queens Park

0.87

Model SuggestionHome -21.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+16.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.41) vs P(Home)=53.0%