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Raith Rovers vs Ross County Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship logo Scotland flag Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 36 Stark's Park· Kirkcaldy Friday, May 1, 2026 18:45
Raith Rovers logo Raith Rovers PPG 1.59
3-2 MISS
Ross County logo Ross County PPG 0.76
Home· +17.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Raith Rovers face Ross County in Scotland - Championship on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raith Rovers a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Ross County 21%, so Raith Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Raith Rovers and 0.9 for Ross County (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raith Rovers are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.76 for Ross County. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.1%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.6%
Odds: 2.36 EV: +17.1%
Draw 29.4%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -3.0%
Away 21.0%
Odds: 2.76 EV: -42.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.6% Odds: 1.95 -13.0%
Over 3.5 23.4% Odds: 3.45 -19.3%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.73 -14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Raith Rovers
1.53
Ross County
0.93

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 41%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 6.7%
Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=49.6%

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