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Raith Rovers vs Ross County Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Regular Season - 36 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 18:45

Raith Rovers

PPG 1.59 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Ross County

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-17.9%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.1%1-112.1%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.3%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.1%3-14.8%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 42.4% 2.36 +17.1%

Draw 29.4% 30.3% 3.30 -3.0%

Away win 21.0% 36.2% 2.76 -42.0%

Over 2.5 44.6% 51.3% 1.95 -13.0%

Over 3.5 23.4% 29.0% 3.45 -19.3%

BTTS 49.2% 57.8% 1.73 -14.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.1%

#3 0–0 8.6%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raith Rovers1.5

Ross County0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RAITH ROVERS · PPG 1.59

ROSS COUNTY · PPG 0.76

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=49.6%

Win probability 1X2

Raith Rovers (H) 49.6%

ODDS 2.36 · IMPLIED 42.4% EV +17.1%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -3.0%

Ross County (A) 21.0%

ODDS 2.76 · IMPLIED 36.2% EV -42.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raith Rovers face Ross County in Scotland - Championship on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raith Rovers a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Ross County 21%, so Raith Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Raith Rovers and 0.9 for Ross County (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raith Rovers are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.76 for Ross County. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.1%. This match finished 3-2.

Raith Rovers vs Ross County Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - Championship Predictions