Leagues / NORTHERN IRELAND / Premiership

Premiership

NORTHERN IRELAND · 6 MATCHES TRACKED · 25 APR 2026 – 25 APR 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 6 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

50.0%

1X2

3/6

83.3%

O/U 2.5

5/6

83.3%

BTTS

5/6

0.0%

Exact score

0/6

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

83.3%

Hit rate

5/6

1.57

Avg odds

+29.7%

ROI

+1.8u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · +65.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · -41.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+65.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+18.0%

ROI

Match log

6 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

April 2026 // 6 PICKS · 5 HIT · 1 MISS

25 APR Bangor vs Portadown BTTS -15% 2–4 HIT 25 APR Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd BTTS +1% 3–2 HIT 25 APR Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers BTTS -4% 2–3 HIT 25 APR Coleraine vs Glentoran BTTS -8% 6–2 HIT 25 APR Larne vs Dungannon Home +1% 8–0 HIT 25 APR Linfield vs Cliftonville Home +19% 1–2 MISS