Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

Crusaders face Ballymena Utd in Northern-Ireland - Premiership on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Crusaders a 37% chance, the draw 24% and Ballymena Utd 40%, so Ballymena Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Crusaders and 1.6 for Ballymena Utd (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Crusaders are averaging 0.72 points per game versus 0.94 for Ballymena Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +45.4%. This match finished 3-2.