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Coleraine vs Glentoran Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Premiership

Championship Group - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:30

Coleraine

PPG 2.53 · HOME

6 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Glentoran

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.4% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.7%0-24.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.0%1-26.8%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.3%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.2%3-14.8%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 40.0% 2.50 +17.3%

Draw 25.3% 32.3% 3.10 -21.6%

Away win 27.8% 38.2% 2.62 -27.2%

Over 2.5 50.2% 48.8% 2.05 +2.9%

Over 3.5 28.2% 27.8% 3.60 +1.5%

BTTS 53.4% 57.8% 1.73 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 0%

ROI 29.7%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.4%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 10.6%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0 8.2%

#5 0–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Coleraine1.6

Glentoran1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

COLERAINE · PPG 2.53

GLENTORAN · PPG 2.11

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.53) > Away EXCELLENT (2.11)

Win probability 1X2

Coleraine (H) 46.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +17.3%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -21.6%

Glentoran (A) 27.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -27.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Coleraine face Glentoran in Northern-Ireland - Premiership on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coleraine a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Glentoran 28%, so Coleraine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Coleraine and 1.1 for Glentoran (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coleraine are averaging 2.53 points per game versus 2.11 for Glentoran. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.3%. This match finished 6-2.

Coleraine vs Glentoran Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

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