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Coleraine vs Glentoran Prediction— Northern-Ireland - Premiership

Northern-Ireland - Premiership logo Northern-Ireland flag Northern-Ireland - Premiership Championship Group - 38 The Showgrounds· Coleraine Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:30
Coleraine logo Coleraine PPG 2.53
6-2 MISS
Glentoran logo Glentoran PPG 2.11
Home· +17.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Coleraine face Glentoran in Northern-Ireland - Premiership on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coleraine a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Glentoran 28%, so Coleraine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Coleraine and 1.1 for Glentoran (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coleraine are averaging 2.53 points per game versus 2.11 for Glentoran. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.3%. This match finished 6-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.9%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +17.3%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -21.6%
Away 27.8%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -27.2%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 2.05 +2.9%
Over 3.5 28.2% Odds: 3.60 +1.5%
BTTS 53.4% Odds: 1.73 -7.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Coleraine
1.55
Glentoran
1.13

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 83%
BTTS/No 83%
Score Hit 0%
ROI 6.0%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.53) > Away EXCELLENT (2.11)

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