Leagues / GERMANY / Frauen Bundesliga
Frauen Bundesliga
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 29 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
69.0%
1X2
20/29
58.6%
O/U 2.5
17/29
55.2%
BTTS
16/29
27.6%
Exact score
8/29
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
28
Settled
64.3%
Hit rate
18/28
1.45
Avg odds
-6.1%
ROI
-1.7u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=18 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.47 · -2.1% ROI
BTTS · N=7 57.1% HIT · AVG 1.49 · -12.1% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.26 · +26.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.15 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+12.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+12.6%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
11
Bets
64%
Hit
-2.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
11
Bets
55%
Hit
-20.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 9 HIT · 6 MISS
17 MAY CZ Jena W vs FC Koln W Over 2.5 -7% 0–3 HIT17 MAY Wolfsburg W vs Nurnberg W Over 2.5 -4% 3–1 HIT17 MAY SGS Essen W vs Freiburg W Over 2.5 +4% 1–1 MISS17 MAY Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W Over 2.5 -6% 1–3 HIT17 MAY Hoffenheim W vs RB Leipzig W Over 2.5 -9% 0–0 MISS17 MAY Hamburger SV W vs Bayern Munich W Over 2.5 -1% 0–1 MISS17 MAY E. Frankfurt W vs Union Berlin W Over 2.5 -5% 4–2 HIT11 MAY RB Leipzig W vs Leverkusen W Over 2.5 +3% 1–3 HIT10 MAY Werder Bremen W vs CZ Jena W Over 2.5 -15% 7–0 HIT10 MAY Union Berlin W vs Hoffenheim W BTTS -13% 0–2 MISS9 MAY FC Koln W vs Hamburger SV W Over 2.5 -11% 2–1 HIT9 MAY Freiburg W vs Wolfsburg W Over 2.5 -2% 2–4 HIT9 MAY Bayern Munich W vs E. Frankfurt W Over 2.5 -0% 2–0 MISS8 MAY Nurnberg W vs SGS Essen W Over 2.5 -0% 3–0 HIT6 MAY Bayern Munich W vs Hoffenheim W Home -19% 1–1 MISS