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Germany - Frauen Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 26 Volkswagen Arena· Wolfsburg Sunday, May 17, 2026 12:00
Wolfsburg W logo Wolfsburg W PPG 2.17
3-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Nurnberg W logo Nurnberg W PPG 0.75
Away· +38.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.0%
Odds: 1.08 EV: -23.3%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 8.00 EV: +37.9%
Away 8.6%
Odds: 19.00 EV: +38.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.22 -3.6%
Over 3.5 73.3% Odds: 1.53 +12.2%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.80 +12.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 4-1
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Wolfsburg W
3.78
Nurnberg W
1.21

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 28%
ROI 6.0%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

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