Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 71.7% Odds: 1.33 -4.6%
Over 3.5 67.1% Odds: 1.80 +20.8%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.50 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 4-1 ✘
4th 3-2 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -4.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.58) vs P(Home)=59.3%