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Eintracht Frankfurt W vs FC Koln W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:00

Eintracht Frankfurt W

PPG 2.23 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

FC Koln W

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.9%0-22.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.4%1-18.6%1-25.8%1-32.6%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-19.4%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.1%3-16.8%3-24.6%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-16.2%4+-24.2%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% 71.4% 1.40 -25.7%

Draw 22.5% 23.1% 4.33 -1.5%

Away win 24.4% 16.7% 6.00 +27.8%

Over 2.5 65.0% 73.0% 1.37 -10.9%

Over 3.5 43.5% 49.5% 2.02 -12.1%

BTTS 63.2% 64.5% 1.55 -2.0%

Home O1.5 65.1% 75.8% 1.32 -14.1%

Away O1.5 41.2% 31.1% 3.22 +32.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -11.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.2%

H 53% / xG 2.2-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0✓ 7.0%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Frankfurt W2.2

FC Koln W1.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT W · PPG 2.23

FC KOLN W · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Frankfurt W (H) 53.1%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -25.7%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.5%

FC Koln W (A) 24.4%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +27.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Frankfurt W face FC Koln W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt W a 53% chance, the draw 23% and FC Koln W 24%, so Eintracht Frankfurt W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.4 for FC Koln W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Frankfurt W are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.38 for FC Koln W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +49.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs FC Koln W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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