Today / Germany - Frauen Bundesliga / FC Koln W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W

FC Koln W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 16:30

FC Koln W

PPG 1.53 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

1899 Hoffenheim W

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-19.7%0-27.0%0-33.3%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.5%1-112.2%1-28.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.4%2-17.7%2-25.5%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.3%3-13.2%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.4% 35.1% 2.85 -4.8%

Draw 28.1% 29.4% 3.40 -2.7%

Away win 38.6% 45.5% 2.20 -15.1%

Over 2.5 50.5% 58.8% 1.70 -14.1%

Over 3.5 29.0% 36.4% 2.75 -12.2%

BTTS 52.7% 64.5% 1.55 -18.3%

Home O1.5 36.7% 43.5% 2.30 -15.6%

Away O1.5 40.9% 51.3% 1.95 -20.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -11.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.7%

D 28% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 2–1 7.7%

#5 0–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Koln W1.3

1899 Hoffenheim W1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FC KOLN W · PPG 1.53

1899 HOFFENHEIM W · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC Koln W (H) 33.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -4.8%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -2.7%

1899 Hoffenheim W (A) 38.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Koln W face 1899 Hoffenheim W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Koln W a 33% chance, the draw 28% and 1899 Hoffenheim W 39%, so 1899 Hoffenheim W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Koln W and 1.4 for 1899 Hoffenheim W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Koln W are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.77 for 1899 Hoffenheim W. This match finished 1-0.

FC Koln W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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