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Germany - Frauen Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 26 Ernst Abbe Sportfeld· Jena Sunday, May 17, 2026 12:00
CZ Jena W logo CZ Jena W PPG 0.25
0-3 HIT CS5
FC Koln W logo FC Koln W PPG 1.17
Home· +23.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.8%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +23.2%
Draw 21.8%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +2.8%
Away 58.4%
Odds: 1.33 EV: -22.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.45 -7.3%
Over 3.5 44.6% Odds: 2.15 -4.1%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.67 -0.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

CZ Jena W
1.15
FC Koln W
2.27

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+23.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 28%
ROI 6.0%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs Home POOR (0.25)

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