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Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Nürnberg W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:00

Eintracht Frankfurt W

PPG 2.36 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Nürnberg W

PPG 0.97 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.1%0-22.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.1%1-17.4%1-25.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.8%3-17.1%3-25.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-17.4%4+-25.4%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.0% 88.5% 1.13 -37.9%

Draw 21.7% 13.8% 7.25 +34.4%

Away win 23.3% 7.7% 13.00 +121.7%

Over 2.5 64.8% 82.0% 1.22 -20.9%

Over 3.5 44.6% 64.5% 1.55 -30.9%

BTTS 60.8% 59.9% 1.67 +1.5%

Home O1.5 65.8% 85.5% 1.17 -23.0%

Away O1.5 40.9% 25.3% 3.95 +61.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -11.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.8%

H 55% / xG 2.4-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 7.4%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Frankfurt W2.4

Nürnberg W1.5

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT W · PPG 2.36

NÜRNBERG W · PPG 0.97

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Frankfurt W (H) 55.0%

ODDS 1.13 · IMPLIED 88.5% EV -37.9%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 7.25 · IMPLIED 13.8% EV +34.4%

Nürnberg W (A) 23.3%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV +121.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Frankfurt W face Nürnberg W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt W a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Nürnberg W 23%, so Eintracht Frankfurt W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.5 for Nürnberg W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Frankfurt W are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 0.97 for Nürnberg W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +119.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Nürnberg W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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