Today / England - National League / Altrincham vs FC Halifax Town

Altrincham vs FC Halifax Town Prediction— England - National League

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:45

Altrincham

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Halifax Town

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.7%0-25.8%0-32.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.5%1-111.3%1-28.5%1-34.3%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.3%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.7%3-14.0%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 44.4% 2.25 -19.0%

Draw 24.4% 29.9% 3.35 -11.0%

Away win 39.6% 35.7% 2.80 +10.9%

Over 2.5 59.7% 56.5% 1.77 +5.7%

Over 3.5 36.7% 33.9% 2.95 +8.3%

BTTS 60.8% 62.5% 1.60 -2.7%

Home O1.5 40.1% 48.8% 2.05 -17.8%

Away O1.5 45.0% 42.6% 2.35 +5.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 35.2%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.8%

A 40% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1✓ 8.3%

#4 0–1 7.7%

#5 0–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Altrincham1.5

FC Halifax Town1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ALTRINCHAM · PPG 1.38

FC HALIFAX TOWN · PPG 1.21

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Altrincham (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -19.0%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -11.0%

FC Halifax Town (A) 39.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Altrincham face FC Halifax Town in England - National League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altrincham a 36% chance, the draw 24% and FC Halifax Town 40%, so FC Halifax Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Altrincham and 1.5 for FC Halifax Town (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altrincham are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.21 for FC Halifax Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Altrincham vs FC Halifax Town Prediction— England - National League

Match Preview & Prediction

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