Today / England - National League / Forest Green vs Altrincham

Forest Green vs Altrincham Prediction— England - National League

Matchday 5 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:00

Forest Green

PPG 1.81 · HOME

LAST 5

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1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Altrincham

PPG 0.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

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// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-16.8%0-23.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.5%1-111.4%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.7%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.0%3-15.5%3-23.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.4%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 63.7% 1.57 -27.0%

Draw 24.2% 24.4% 4.10 -0.5%

Away win 29.3% 21.7% 4.60 +20.9%

Over 2.5 53.8% 69.0% 1.45 -22.0%

Over 3.5 31.7% 46.5% 2.15 -31.9%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 49.9% 69.4% 1.44 -28.1%

Away O1.5 32.8% 37.7% 2.65 -13.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 35.2%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 1–2✓ 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Forest Green1.7

Altrincham1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FOREST GREEN · PPG 1.81

ALTRINCHAM · PPG 0.72

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Forest Green (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -27.0%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -0.5%

Altrincham (A) 29.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +20.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Forest Green face Altrincham in England - National League on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forest Green a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Altrincham 29%, so Forest Green are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Forest Green and 1.1 for Altrincham (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forest Green are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 0.72 for Altrincham. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Forest Green vs Altrincham Prediction— England - National League

Match Preview & Prediction

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