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Brondby vs Silkeborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 5 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:00

Brondby

PPG 1.83 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Silkeborg

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-14.7%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.5%1-19.7%1-24.5%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.3%3-16.8%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-15.5%4+-22.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% 71.4% 1.40 -20.8%

Draw 21.9% 22.2% 4.50 -0.9%

Away win 21.4% 16.7% 6.00 +17.0%

Over 2.5 57.1% 66.7% 1.50 -14.3%

Over 3.5 35.9% 45.5% 2.20 -21.0%

BTTS 52.7% 61.7% 1.62 -14.6%

Home O1.5 58.2% 71.4% 1.40 -18.5%

Away O1.5 25.7% 28.6% 3.50 -6.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.7%

H 57% / xG 2.0-0.9 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–0 10.7%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brondby2.0

Silkeborg0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRONDBY · PPG 1.83

SILKEBORG · PPG 1.01

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brondby (H) 56.6%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -20.8%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -0.9%

Silkeborg (A) 21.4%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brondby face Silkeborg in Denmark - Superliga on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brondby a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Silkeborg 21%, so Brondby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Brondby and 0.9 for Silkeborg (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brondby are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.01 for Silkeborg. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +14.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Brondby vs Silkeborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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