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Viborg vs Lyngby Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 7 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:00

Viborg

PPG 2.04 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWW

UPCOMING

Lyngby

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-15.5%0-22.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.8%1-110.5%1-25.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.5%3-16.3%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-14.6%4+-22.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.0% 55.6% 1.80 -1.0%

Draw 23.2% 26.0% 3.85 -6.4%

Away win 21.8% 25.6% 3.90 -9.0%

Over 2.5 59.6% 64.5% 1.55 -7.6%

Over 3.5 36.4% 42.6% 2.35 -14.5%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 55.8% 61.7% 1.62 -9.6%

Away O1.5 26.8% 40.0% 2.50 -19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 55% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viborg1.9

Lyngby1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VIBORG · PPG 2.04

LYNGBY · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Viborg (H) 55.0%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -1.0%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -6.4%

Lyngby (A) 21.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viborg face Lyngby in Denmark - Superliga on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viborg a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Lyngby 22%, so Viborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Viborg and 1.0 for Lyngby (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viborg are averaging 2.04 points per game versus 0.94 for Lyngby.

Viborg vs Lyngby Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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