Today / Denmark - Superliga / FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby Prediction— Denmark - Superliga
FC Nordsjaelland
PPG 2.10 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Brondby
PPG 1.61 · AWAY
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.
Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →
0 1 2 3 4+ 0 0-08.8% 0-19.7% 0-25.3% 0-32.0% 0-4+0.7% 1 1-011.7% 1-112.9% 1-27.1% 1-32.6% 1-4+0.9% 2 2-07.8% 2-18.6% 2-24.7% 2-31.7% 2-4+0.6% 3 3-03.4% 3-13.8% 3-22.1% 3-30.8% 3-4+0.3% 4+ 4+-01.5% 4+-11.7% 4+-20.9% 4+-30.3% 4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW ▣ FT RESULT
Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV
Market Model Implied Odds EV
Home win 43.5% 50.0% 2.00 -13.0%
Draw 27.0% 27.8% 3.60 -1.7%
Away win 29.4% 32.3% 3.10 -5.3%
Over 2.5 50.5% 63.7% 1.57 -20.7%
Over 3.5 28.7% 42.0% 2.38 -19.0%
BTTS 52.7% 66.7% 1.50 -20.9%
Home O1.5 37.5% 57.8% 1.73 -35.1%
Away O1.5 33.0% 42.0% 2.38 -21.5%
League track record ↗
Based on 55 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 38%
ROI -4.0%
Bet Hit 62%
Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL
2 – 1 20% CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-1 xG (home) 1.3 xG (away) 1.1 BTTS prob 52.7%
H 44% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 1–0 11.7%
#3 2–1 8.6%
#4 0–0 8.8%
#5 2–0 7.8%
Form & verdict PPG
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v... HIGH_DRAW_RISK xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability 1X2
FC Nordsjaelland (H) 43.5%
Season statistics shots · possession · passes · corners · cards · xG + Season Statistics average per match · 5 matches · 2026 FC Nordsjaelland ▾ lower is better Brondby
Attack
13.0 Shots inside box
9.8 7.2 Shots outside box
6.2 35.6% Shooting accuracy
24.0% 25.0% Goals per shot on target
47.8% Defence
3.4 Shots on target faced▾
4.5 0.40 Goals conceded▾
1.17 Control
87.7% Pass accuracy
85.9% Discipline
Match Preview & Prediction FC Nordsjaelland face Brondby in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Nordsjaelland a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Brondby 29%, so FC Nordsjaelland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.1 for Brondby (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Nordsjaelland are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.61 for Brondby. This match finished 3-1.
Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:00
