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Silkeborg vs Odense Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 17:00

Silkeborg

PPG 0.97 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Odense

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-19.2%0-26.5%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.6%1-112.1%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.0%2-25.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.5%3-13.5%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 40.0% 2.50 -13.3%

Draw 26.7% 27.0% 3.70 -0.7%

Away win 38.5% 40.0% 2.50 -3.8%

Over 2.5 50.0% 66.7% 1.50 -25.0%

Over 3.5 30.0% 44.4% 2.25 -32.5%

BTTS 53.1% 70.4% 1.42 -24.6%

Home O1.5 37.9% 52.6% 1.90 -28.0%

Away O1.5 42.6% 52.6% 1.90 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.1%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 0–0 6.5%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 0–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silkeborg1.3

Odense1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SILKEBORG · PPG 0.97

ODENSE · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Silkeborg (H) 34.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -13.3%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -0.7%

Odense (A) 38.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -3.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Silkeborg face Odense in Denmark - Superliga on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silkeborg a 35% chance, the draw 27% and Odense 39%, so Odense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Silkeborg and 1.4 for Odense (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silkeborg are averaging 0.97 points per game versus 0.91 for Odense. This match finished 1-0.

Silkeborg vs Odense Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - Superliga Predictions