Today / Denmark - Superliga / Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen

Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 16:00

Randers FC

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Copenhagen

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-18.2%0-26.7%0-33.6%0-4+2.1%1 1-06.8%1-111.1%1-29.1%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.6%2-17.6%2-26.2%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.1%3-13.4%3-22.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% 23.1% 4.33 +48.5%

Draw 25.6% 26.0% 3.85 -0.9%

Away win 40.1% 57.8% 1.73 -30.6%

Over 2.5 53.7% 61.7% 1.62 -13.0%

Over 3.5 31.8% 39.2% 2.55 -18.9%

BTTS 54.5% 63.7% 1.57 -14.4%

Home O1.5 37.9% 34.7% 2.88 +9.2%

Away O1.5 47.7% 60.6% 1.65 -21.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.5%

A 40% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Randers FC1.4

FC Copenhagen1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RANDERS FC · PPG 1.50

FC COPENHAGEN · PPG 1.86

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Randers FC (H) 34.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +48.5%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -0.9%

FC Copenhagen (A) 40.1%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Randers FC face FC Copenhagen in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Randers FC a 34% chance, the draw 26% and FC Copenhagen 40%, so FC Copenhagen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Randers FC and 1.6 for FC Copenhagen (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Randers FC are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.86 for FC Copenhagen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +31.4%.

Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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