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Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:00

Silkeborg

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

FC Midtjylland

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-19.4%0-28.1%0-34.7%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.4%1-111.1%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.8%2-16.6%2-25.7%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.6%3-22.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 18.2% 5.50 +34.1%

Draw 24.7% 22.7% 4.40 +5.2%

Away win 46.8% 69.4% 1.44 -32.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 67.6% 1.48 -20.8%

Over 3.5 31.8% 47.6% 2.10 -33.2%

BTTS 54.7% 64.5% 1.55 -15.2%

Home O1.5 32.0% 29.4% 3.40 +8.8%

Away O1.5 47.9% 71.4% 1.40 -32.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.7%

A 47% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 8.1%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silkeborg1.2

FC Midtjylland1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SILKEBORG · PPG 1.36

FC MIDTJYLLAND · PPG 1.82

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.55 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Silkeborg (H) 28.5%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +34.1%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +5.2%

FC Midtjylland (A) 46.8%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -32.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Silkeborg face FC Midtjylland in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silkeborg a 28% chance, the draw 25% and FC Midtjylland 47%, so FC Midtjylland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Silkeborg and 1.7 for FC Midtjylland (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silkeborg are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.82 for FC Midtjylland. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +42.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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