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Viborg vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:00

Viborg

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

FC Copenhagen

PPG 2.03 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-18.2%0-27.0%0-34.0%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.3%1-110.8%1-29.3%1-35.4%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.2%2-17.2%2-26.2%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.8%3-13.2%3-22.7%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 35.7% 2.80 -13.8%

Draw 24.0% 28.6% 3.50 -9.6%

Away win 45.2% 45.5% 2.20 -0.6%

Over 2.5 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Over 3.5 36.6% 42.0% 2.38 -12.9%

BTTS 60.5% 69.4% 1.44 -12.9%

Home O1.5 37.8% 45.5% 2.20 -16.8%

Away O1.5 48.5% 54.6% 1.83 -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.5%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 7.0%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viborg1.3

FC Copenhagen1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIBORG · PPG 1.90

FC COPENHAGEN · PPG 2.03

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Viborg (H) 30.8%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -13.8%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.6%

FC Copenhagen (A) 45.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viborg face FC Copenhagen in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viborg a 31% chance, the draw 24% and FC Copenhagen 45%, so FC Copenhagen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Viborg and 1.7 for FC Copenhagen (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viborg are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 2.03 for FC Copenhagen. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Viborg vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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