Leagues / COLOMBIA / Primera A
Primera A
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 16 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
56.2%
1X2
9/16
62.5%
O/U 2.5
10/16
56.2%
BTTS
9/16
43.8%
Exact score
7/16
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
66.7%
Hit rate
8/12
1.75
Avg odds
+16.4%
ROI
+2.0u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.52 · -17.6% ROI
BTTS · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.81 · +10.6% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.42 · +142.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.90 · +90.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-48.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
100%
Hit
+91.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-10.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS
3 MAY Fortaleza CEIF vs A. Bucaramanga — NO PICK 2–1 —3 MAY Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali — NO PICK 1–1 —3 MAY America de Cali vs D. Pereira Home -19% 1–0 HIT3 MAY Junior vs Deportivo Pasto BTTS +9% 4–3 HIT2 MAY Boyaca Chico vs Llaneros — NO PICK 3–0 —2 MAY Jaguares de C. vs Cucuta BTTS +7% 2–0 MISS1 MAY Once Caldas vs A. Nacional BTTS +2% 1–0 MISSApril 2026 // 7 PICKS · 5 HIT · 2 MISS
26 APR R. Aguilas vs Once Caldas BTTS +5% 2–2 HIT25 APR A. Bucaramanga vs Jaguares de C. Home +28% 2–2 MISS25 APR Deportivo Cali vs America de Cali — NO PICK 1–0 —24 APR Cucuta vs Junior BTTS +23% 1–1 HIT23 APR Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe Home +36% 1–2 MISS19 APR Santa Fe vs Cucuta Over 2.5 +29% 5–0 HIT19 APR Junior vs Llaneros Home -20% 2–0 HIT18 APR Deportes Tolima vs D. Pereira Home +18% 2–0 HIT