Today / Colombia - Primera A / Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 01:20

Deportivo Cali

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Bucaramanga

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-19.4%0-23.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.3%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.5%2-18.0%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-13.5%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% 46.7% 2.14 +2.1%

Draw 28.3% 31.3% 3.20 -5.7%

Away win 24.0% 29.0% 3.45 -10.3%

Over 2.5 42.7% 40.8% 2.45 +4.6%

Over 3.5 22.3% 21.1% 4.75 +3.5%

BTTS 48.0% 47.6% 2.10 +0.8%

Home O1.5 38.4% 43.5% 2.30 -11.7%

Away O1.5 18.8% 25.0% 4.00 -14.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.0%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.7%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1✓ 12.3%

#4 2–0 11.5%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cali1.3

Bucaramanga0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CALI · PPG 1.92

BUCARAMANGA · PPG 1.08

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cali (H) 47.7%

ODDS 2.14 · IMPLIED 46.7% EV +2.1%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -5.7%

Bucaramanga (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -10.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cali face Bucaramanga in Colombia - Primera A on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cali a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Bucaramanga 24%, so Deportivo Cali are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Cali and 0.7 for Bucaramanga (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cali are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.08 for Bucaramanga. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Match Preview & Prediction

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