Today / Australia - NPL New South Wales / Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders

Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - NPL New South Wales

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 05:00

Sutherland Sharks

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

SD Raiders

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.0%0-23.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.9%1-19.8%1-26.1%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.2%3-16.4%3-24.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.0%4+-23.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% 32.3% 3.10 +57.2%

Draw 22.9% 27.0% 3.70 -9.2%

Away win 26.4% 51.3% 1.95 -29.1%

Over 2.5 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Over 3.5 37.0% 41.7% 2.40 -11.2%

BTTS 60.1% 67.6% 1.48 -11.1%

Home O1.5 56.3% 43.5% 2.30 +29.5%

Away O1.5 36.6% 57.8% 1.73 -36.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 159 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.1%

H 51% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–2✓ 6.1%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sutherland Sharks2.0

SD Raiders1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SUTHERLAND SHARKS · PPG 1.64

SD RAIDERS · PPG 1.21

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sutherland Sharks (H) 50.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +57.2%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.2%

SD Raiders (A) 26.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -29.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutherland Sharks face SD Raiders in Australia - NPL New South Wales on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutherland Sharks a 51% chance, the draw 23% and SD Raiders 26%, so Sutherland Sharks are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sutherland Sharks and 1.2 for SD Raiders (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutherland Sharks are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.21 for SD Raiders. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +63.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - NPL New South Wales

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - NPL New South Wales Predictions