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Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 22:00

Huracan

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

PPG 0.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLDD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 62.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-14.5%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.2%1-17.3%1-21.2%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.0%2-16.0%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.4%3-13.3%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-11.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.8% 61.7% 1.62 +1.7%

Draw 24.9% 30.3% 3.30 -10.7%

Away win 12.3% 14.8% 6.75 -10.2%

Over 2.5 37.8% 34.5% 2.90 +9.6%

Over 3.5 18.6% 16.0% 6.25 +9.8%

BTTS 41.6% 36.4% 2.75 +14.4%

Home O1.5 48.9% 45.5% 2.20 +7.6%

Away O1.5 11.1% 14.3% 7.00 -13.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob41.6%

H 63% / xG 1.6-0.3 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.2%

#2 2–0 19.0%

#3 0–0 14.1%

#4 3–0 10.4%

#5 1–1✓ 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracan1.6

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACAN · PPG 1.64

ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO · PPG 0.10

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Huracan (H) 62.8%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +1.7%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -10.7%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (A) 12.3%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV -10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracan face Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracan a 63% chance, the draw 25% and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 12%, so Huracan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Huracan and 0.3 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracan are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.10 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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