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Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 22:00

Belgrano Cordoba logo
Belgrano Cordoba
PPG 1.77 · HOME
LAST 5
DWWLD
VS
UPCOMING
Huracan logo
Huracan
PPG 1.15 · AWAY
LAST 5
DWLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-19.8%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.1%1-112.3%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-17.7%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.7%3-13.2%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.8% 51.3% 1.95 -4.8%
Draw 28.4% 34.2% 2.92 -10.2%
Away win 22.7% 21.5% 4.65 +3.3%
Over 2.5 38.8% 33.9% 2.95 +14.5%
Over 3.5 19.0% 16.0% 6.25 +11.3%
BTTS 42.6% 41.7% 2.40 +2.2%
Home O1.5 37.1% 39.2% 2.55 -5.4%
Away O1.5 18.8% 19.0% 5.25 -0.8%

League track record

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -5.7%
Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.6%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.1%
#2 0–0 14.4%
#3 1–1 12.3%
#4 2–0 11.3%
#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belgrano Cordoba1.3
Huracan0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BELGRANO CORDOBA · PPG 1.77

HURACAN · PPG 1.15

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Belgrano Cordoba (H) 48.8%
ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -4.8%
Draw 28.4%
ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -10.2%
Huracan (A) 22.7%
ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV +3.3%

Season Statistics average per match · 25 matches · 2026

Belgrano Cordoba ▾ lower is better Huracan

Attack

12.1
Shots
11.9
3.7
Shots on target
3.9
5.2
Shots off target
5.4
3.2
Blocked shots
2.6
7.0
Shots inside box
6.5
5.2
Shots outside box
5.4
30.8%
Shooting accuracy
32.6%
30.7%
Goals per shot on target
25.8%
1.15
Goals
1.00
0.97
xG for 11·9 of 25
1.12

Defence

12.4
Shots faced
12.0
3.8
Shots on target faced
3.3
0.74
Goals conceded
0.84
1.20
xG against 11·9 of 25
1.38
3.0
Goalkeeper saves
2.5

Control

50.4%
Possession
53.7%
391
Passes
398
308
Accurate passes
305
78.7%
Pass accuracy
76.6%
3.7
Corners
4.0
4.4
Corners faced
5.0
1.7
Offsides
1.4

Discipline

10.8
Fouls
13.3
2.1
Yellow cards
3.0
0.22
Red cards
0.32

Match Preview & Prediction

Belgrano Cordoba face Huracan in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belgrano Cordoba a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Huracan 23%, so Belgrano Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.7 for Huracan (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belgrano Cordoba are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.15 for Huracan. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +28.5%.

PredictVantage

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