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Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 00:30

Atletico Tucuman

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Belgrano Cordoba

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.7%0-116.2%0-27.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.2%1-113.1%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.2%2-15.3%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.7%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% 40.0% 2.50 -21.0%

Draw 32.6% 36.4% 2.75 -10.3%

Away win 35.8% 33.3% 3.00 +7.4%

Over 2.5 34.2% 34.7% 2.88 -1.5%

Over 3.5 18.0% 16.7% 6.00 +4.8%

BTTS 43.7% 45.5% 2.20 -3.9%

Home O1.5 30.9% 30.8% 3.25 +0.4%

Away O1.5 24.6% 26.7% 3.75 -4.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.7%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 18.7%

#2 0–1 16.2%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 1–1 13.1%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Tucuman0.8

Belgrano Cordoba0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO TUCUMAN · PPG 1.18

BELGRANO CORDOBA · PPG 1.77

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.05, combined xG 1.68 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Tucuman (H) 31.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -21.0%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -10.3%

Belgrano Cordoba (A) 35.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Tucuman face Belgrano Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Tucuman a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Belgrano Cordoba 36%, so Belgrano Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Atletico Tucuman and 0.9 for Belgrano Cordoba (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Tucuman are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.77 for Belgrano Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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