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Talleres Cordoba vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 00:30

Talleres Cordoba logo
Talleres Cordoba
PPG 1.27 · HOME
LAST 5
WLLDD
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Central Cordoba de Santiago logo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
PPG 0.55 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWLLD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-17.6%0-22.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.8%1-111.3%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-18.4%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.5%3-14.2%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-12.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.3% 57.8% 1.73 -9.5%
Draw 24.4% 30.8% 3.25 -12.4%
Away win 23.3% 20.0% 5.00 +9.9%
Over 2.5 44.8% 42.6% 2.35 +5.3%
Over 3.5 27.5% 23.1% 4.33 +11.5%
BTTS 47.2% 45.5% 2.20 +3.8%
Home O1.5 40.1% 50.0% 2.00 -19.8%
Away O1.5 17.3% 18.2% 5.50 -2.9%

League track record

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -5.7%
Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.2%

H 52% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.8%
#2 2–0 13.2%
#3 0–0 12.0%
#4 1–1 11.3%
#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Cordoba1.5
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.27

CENTRAL CORDOBA DE SANTIAGO · PPG 0.55

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Cordoba (H) 52.3%
ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -9.5%
Draw 24.4%
ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -12.4%
Central Cordoba de Santiago (A) 23.3%
ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +9.9%

Season Statistics average per match · 22 matches · 2026

Talleres Cordoba ▾ lower is better Central Cordoba de Santiago

Attack

12.8
Shots
9.1
4.5
Shots on target
2.7
5.2
Shots off target
4.3
3.1
Blocked shots
2.2
7.4
Shots inside box
5.2
5.4
Shots outside box
3.9
34.9%
Shooting accuracy
29.5%
23.4%
Goals per shot on target
25.4%
1.04
Goals
0.68
1.32
xG for 8·7 of 22
0.92

Defence

13.8
Shots faced
16.0
4.5
Shots on target faced
5.0
1.08
Goals conceded
1.23
1.61
xG against 8·7 of 22
1.33
3.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.8

Control

53.7%
Possession
42.4%
433
Passes
326
354
Accurate passes
244
81.6%
Pass accuracy
74.9%
4.5
Corners
3.4
5.1
Corners faced
5.0
1.6
Offsides
2.0

Discipline

11.5
Fouls
13.0
2.3
Yellow cards
2.8
0.17
Red cards
0.05

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Cordoba face Central Cordoba de Santiago in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Cordoba a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Central Cordoba de Santiago 23%, so Talleres Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Talleres Cordoba and 0.6 for Central Cordoba de Santiago (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Cordoba are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.55 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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