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Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 22:00

Defensa Y Justicia

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Platense

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-19.5%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.5%1-112.8%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-18.6%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.4%3-13.8%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 42.0% 2.38 +8.3%

Draw 27.3% 34.7% 2.88 -12.8%

Away win 27.2% 30.3% 3.30 -6.1%

Over 2.5 47.2% 37.0% 2.70 +27.4%

Over 3.5 26.2% 19.0% 5.25 +22.5%

BTTS 49.9% 47.6% 2.10 +4.8%

Home O1.5 39.3% 35.7% 2.80 +10.0%

Away O1.5 25.5% 27.4% 3.65 -4.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 1–0✓ 14.5%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Defensa Y Justicia1.3

Platense0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.2% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA · PPG 1.36

PLATENSE · PPG 1.27

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Defensa Y Justicia (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +8.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.8%

Platense (A) 27.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Defensa Y Justicia face Platense in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensa Y Justicia a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Platense 27%, so Defensa Y Justicia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Defensa Y Justicia and 0.9 for Platense (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensa Y Justicia are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.27 for Platense. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +27.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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