Persha Liga

UKRAINE · 64 MATCHES TRACKED · 17 APR 2026 – 4 SEPT 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 61 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

47.5%

1X2

29/61

50.8%

O/U 2.5

31/61

55.7%

BTTS

34/61

52.5%

Exact score

32/61

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

57.1%

Hit rate

4/7

1.74

Avg odds

-14.1%

ROI

-1.0u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.60 · -12.0% ROI

BTTS · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 2.01 · -34.3% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · +40.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+40.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

33%

Hit

-34.3%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

67%

Hit

-12.0%

ROI

Match log

61 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 4 PICKS · 3 HIT · 1 MISS

30 AUG Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka Over 2.5 0–3 HIT 30 AUG Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil — NO PICK 1–1 —29 AUG UCSA vs Inhulets BTTS -9% 1–2 HIT 16 AUG Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil — NO PICK 1–2 —14 AUG Prykarpattia vs Probiy Horodenka — NO PICK 3–0 —9 AUG Probiy Horodenka vs Chernihiv — NO PICK 1–1 —7 AUG UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil BTTS +12% 1–0 MISS 1 AUG Metal Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka BTTS +3% 3–1 HIT

July 2026 // 0 PICKS · 0 HIT · 0 MISS

31 JUL Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Yarud Mariupol' — NO PICK 2–0 —

June 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS

1 JUN UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil — NO PICK 3–0 —1 JUN Ahrobiznes V. vs Chernihiv — NO PICK 1–0 —1 JUN P. Horodenka vs Prykarpattia — NO PICK 0–3 —1 JUN Mariupol vs Viktoriya M. — NO PICK 2–0 —1 JUN Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh — NO PICK 1–3 —1 JUN Chornomorets vs M. Kharkiv Home -32% 1–0 HIT