Persha Liga

UKRAINE · 54 MATCHES TRACKED · 17 APR 2026 – 1 JUN 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 52 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

46.2%

1X2

24/52

50.0%

O/U 2.5

26/52

57.7%

BTTS

30/52

51.9%

Exact score

27/52

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

77.8%

Hit rate

7/9

1.47

Avg odds

+1.3%

ROI

+0.1u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=7 85.7% HIT · AVG 1.41 · +10.3% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · +40.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.99 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+40.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

86%

Hit

+10.3%

ROI

Match log

52 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

June 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS

1 JUN P. Horodenka vs Prykarpattia — NO PICK 0–3 —1 JUN Ahrobiznes V. vs Chernihiv — NO PICK 1–0 —1 JUN UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil — NO PICK 3–0 —1 JUN Chornomorets vs M. Kharkiv Home -32% 1–0 HIT 1 JUN Mariupol vs Viktoriya M. — NO PICK 2–0 —1 JUN Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh — NO PICK 1–3 —

May 2026 // 2 PICKS · 1 HIT · 1 MISS

30 MAY Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya K. — NO PICK 1–1 —23 MAY Viktoriya M. vs P. Horodenka — NO PICK 0–1 —23 MAY Chernihiv vs Inhulets — NO PICK 1–2 —23 MAY Prykarpattia vs Ahrobiznes V. — NO PICK 1–1 —23 MAY Podillya K. vs Mariupol — NO PICK 0–0 —23 MAY Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava — NO PICK 1–1 —23 MAY M. Kharkiv vs UCSA — NO PICK 2–0 —23 MAY Bukovyna vs Chornomorets Home 1–3 MISS 22 MAY Livyi Bereh vs MFC Metalurh Home 4–0 HIT